← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Yohann Rouinsard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Niort win | 27% | 3.59 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Zakaria Grich · Niort |
| 40' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Charbonnier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 75' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Belaud · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Yacine Bourhane · Niort |
| 84' | 🟨 | Quentin Bena · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 10 |
| 6 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade René-Gaillard |
| coach days | 234.00 | 903.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1502.41 | 1622.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.71 | 1.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.70 |
| league points | 34.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 2.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.18 | 28.51 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |