← Ligue 2 2018 · Mon, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Yohann Rouinsard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
| Valenciennes win | 18% | 5.49 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Sébastien Roudet · Valenciennes |
| 57' | 🟨 | Victorien Angban · Metz |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) | Habib Diallo · Metz |
| 76' | ⚽ | Farid Boulaya · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 1081.00 | 230.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 0.00 |
| -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1400.15 | 1578.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.89 | 18.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.60 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 18.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 2.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.71 | 25.87 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.09 | 1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |