β Ligue 2 2018 Β· Fri, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.83 |
| Red Star win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | π¨ | Harouna Sy Β· Red Star |
| 15' | π¨ | Amadou Diallo Β· Red Star |
| 29' | π¨ | Elisha Owusu Β· Sochaux |
| 35' | π¨ | Emmanuel Bourgaud Β· Red Star |
| 44' | β½ | Jordan Faucher Β· Red Star |
| 54' | π₯ | Ermedin Demirovic Β· Sochaux |
| 67' | β½ | Amadou Diallo Β· Red Star |
| 80' | π₯ | Olivier Verdon Β· Sochaux |
| 85' | π¨ | Samba Diakite Β· Red Star |
| 87' | β½ | Xavier Tomas Β· Red Star |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.33 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| coach days | 74.00 | 13.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1296.02 | 1420.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.58 | -11.72 |
| eye test v1 | -1.31 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| league points | 9.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 9.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.47 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 22.45 |
| state index | -1.87 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |