← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastein Dechepy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Ajaccio win | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 15' | 🟨 | Jeremy Choplin · Ajaccio |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Anthony Le Tallec · Orleans |
| 49' | 🟨 | Cédric Cambon · Orleans |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Johan Cavalli · Ajaccio |
| 58' | ⚽ | Ghislain Gimbert · Ajaccio |
| 68' | 🟥 | Yohan Demoncy · Orleans |
| 70' | 🟨 | Durel Avounou · Orleans |
| 73' | 🟨 | Anthony Le Tallec · Orleans |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ousmane Cissokho · Orleans |
| 90' | 🟥 | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade de la Source |
| coach days | 2357.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1434.92 | 1364.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.33 | -30.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.54 |
| league points | 26.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 9.79 | 9.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.31 | 27.22 |
| state index | -0.91 | -1.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |