β Ligue 2 2018 Β· Fri, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Faouzi Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.89 |
| Paris FC win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | β½ | Silas Β· Paris FC |
| 35' | π¨ | Romain Perraud Β· Paris FC |
| 45' | π¨ | Eric Vandenabeele Β· Grenoble |
| 60' | π¨ | Lalaina Nomenjanahary Β· Paris FC |
| 87' | π¨ | Fabien Ourega Β· Paris FC |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 196.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1457.27 | 1553.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 66.04 | 9.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| league points | 31.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.29 | 28.66 |
| state index | 0.69 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |