← Ligue 2 2018 · Tue, Dec 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 68% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.21 |
| Red Star win | 9% | 10.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Matthieu Fontaine · Red Star |
| 27' | 🟨 | Thomas Delaine · Metz |
| 54' | ⚽ | Habib Diallo · Metz |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Habib Diallo · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| coach days | 217.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -2.20 |
| -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1574.96 | 1299.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.10 | -34.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| league points | 41.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.28 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.94 | 27.16 |
| state index | 0.21 | -1.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |