← Ligue 2 2018 · Tue, Dec 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Yohann Rouinsard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
| Chateauroux win | 18% | 5.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 44' | ⚽ | Opa Sangante · Chateauroux |
| 49' | 🟨 | Nama Fofana · Chateauroux |
| 66' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Chateauroux |
| 86' | ⚽ | Zinedine Ferhat · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 794.00 | 1890.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1535.88 | 1459.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.48 | 24.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.60 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| league points | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 26.74 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |