← Ligue 2 2018 · Tue, Dec 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
| Nancy win | 22% | 4.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Johan Cavalli · Ajaccio |
| 31' | 🟨 | Amine Bassi · Nancy |
| 44' | ⚽ | Malaly Dembele · Nancy |
| 46' | 🟨 | Vinni Triboulet · Nancy |
| 47' | 🟨 | Yann Boé-Kane · Ajaccio |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jeremy Choplin · Ajaccio |
| 68' | 🟨 | Abou Ba · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexis Busin · Nancy |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mathieu Coutadeur · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 26 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade François-Coty |
| coach days | 64.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1377.74 | 1374.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.14 | 15.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 25.54 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |