← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Nov 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florent Batta, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
| Ajaccio win | 17% | 5.54 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Jean-Charles Castelletto · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 79' | 🟨 | Julien Faussurier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 90' | 🟥 | Alliou Dembele · Ajaccio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kevin Mayi · Stade Brestois 29 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 882.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le-Blé |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1620.77 | 1391.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.66 | -12.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.55 |
| league points | 37.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 2.18 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 26.99 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |