← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Nov 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: William Lavis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Valenciennes win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.99 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 18' | 🟨 | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 74' | 🟨 | Laurent Dos Santos · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.57 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 1064.00 | 182.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1403.97 | 1540.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.72 | 3.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.40 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| league points | 17.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 27.49 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |