← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Nov 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Yohann Rouinsard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.93 |
| Red Star win | 24% | 4.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟥 | Mourad Satli · Red Star |
| 53' | 🟨 | Maxence Derrien · Red Star |
| 57' | 🟨 | Clément Chantôme · Red Star |
| 62' | ⚽ | Wilfried Moimbé · Nancy |
| 76' | 🟨 | Omenuke Mfulu · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Wilfried Moimbé · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 53.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1352.59 | 1328.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.82 | 2.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.30 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.55 |
| league points | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 27.48 |
| state index | -1.20 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |