← Ligue 2 2018 · Mon, Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Johan Hamel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Nancy win | 14% | 6.84 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le-Blé |
| coach days | 864.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1621.06 | 1355.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.37 | -22.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 33.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | — |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.85 | 26.93 |
| state index | 0.78 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |