← Ligue 2 2018 · Sat, Nov 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| Valenciennes win | 19% | 5.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Tony Mauricio · Valenciennes |
| 28' | 🟨 | Grejohn Kyei · Racing Club de Lens |
| 33' | 🟨 | Damien Perquis · Valenciennes |
| 36' | ⚽ | Grejohn Kyei · Racing Club de Lens |
| 54' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 56' | 🟨 | Anthony Goelzer · Valenciennes |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ahmed Kantari · Valenciennes |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Yannick Gomis · Racing Club de Lens |
| 63' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 65' | 🟨 | Arial Mendy · Racing Club de Lens |
| 72' | ⚽ | Sébastien Roudet · Valenciennes |
| 73' | 🟨 | Sébastien Roudet · Valenciennes |
| 87' | ⚽ | Tony Mauricio · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟥 | Elhadj Dabo · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟥 | Walid Mesloub · Racing Club de Lens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Racing Club de Lens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 1044.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1380.13 | 1551.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.85 | 0.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| league points | 13.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.43 | 26.05 |
| state index | -1.21 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |