← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Nov 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.17 |
| Niort win | 20% | 4.94 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Dylan Louiserre · Niort |
| 41' | 🟨 | Julien Da Costa · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 343.00 | 192.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 3.20 |
| -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.01 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1394.50 | 1489.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.46 | 33.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.73 |
| league points | 13.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 23.80 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |