← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Nov 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: William Lavis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.86 |
| Beziers win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Kanté · Beziers |
| 21' | 🟨 | Maxence Derrien · Red Star |
| 34' | 🟨 | Matias Ferreira · Red Star |
| 42' | ⚽ | Amir Nouri · Beziers |
| 52' | 🟨 | Xavier Tomas · Red Star |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Sissoko · Beziers |
| 75' | ⚽ | Amir Nouri · Beziers |
| 78' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Savane · Beziers |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mourad Satli · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Beziers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| coach days | 39.00 | 767.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1341.60 | 1481.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.06 | 5.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| league points | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.97 | 27.10 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |