← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Nov 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Yohann Rouinsard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Ajaccio win | 18% | 5.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Ajaccio |
| 44' | 🟨 | Lucas Pellegrini · Ajaccio |
| 70' | 🟨 | Matteo Tramoni · Ajaccio |
| 71' | ⚽ | Arsène Elogo · Grenoble |
| 85' | ⚽ | Florian Sotoca · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jerome Mombris · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 161.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1416.39 | 1391.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.27 | -16.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| league points | 23.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.96 | 26.26 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |