← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Nov 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Orleans win | 19% | 4.97 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Ousmane Cissokho · Orleans |
| 27' | 🟨 | Jordan Tell · Orleans |
| 39' | 🟥 | Gabriel Mutombo · Orleans |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Florian Ayé · Clermont |
| 47' | ⚽ | Franck Honorat · Clermont |
| 51' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Orleans |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Florian Ayé · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel Montpied |
| coach days | 2322.00 | 2322.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1538.54 | 1469.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.50 | 28.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 68.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.72 |
| league points | 19.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.24 | -1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 28.65 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |