← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Nov 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jeremie Pignard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.98 |
| Paris FC win | 22% | 4.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Silas · Paris FC |
| 13' | 🟨 | Rominigue Kouamé · Paris FC |
| 14' | 🟨 | Maxime Etuin · FC Lorient |
| 28' | 🟨 | Frédéric Bong · Paris FC |
| 29' | ⚽ | Lindsay Rose · FC Lorient |
| 69' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
| 76' | 🟨 | Felipe Saad · FC Lorient |
| 81' | 🟨 | Lindsay Rose · FC Lorient |
| 86' | 🟨 | Julien Ponceau · FC Lorient |
| 89' | ⚽ | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 90' | 🟥 | Frédéric Bong · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| coach days | 528.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1558.03 | 1539.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.55 | -6.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.50 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.82 |
| league points | 28.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.37 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.02 | 28.38 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.67 | 1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |