← Ligue 2 2018 · Sat, Nov 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Grenoble win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Florian Sotoca · Grenoble |
| 49' | 🟨 | Gabriel Mutombo · Orleans |
| 56' | ⚽ | Florian Sotoca · Grenoble |
| 59' | 🟨 | Adrien Monfray · Orleans |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Youssouf M'Changama · Grenoble |
| 72' | 🟨 | Gauthier Pinaud · Orleans |
| 82' | 🟨 | Eric Vandenabeele · Grenoble |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ryan Sanusi · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 23 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade de la Source |
| coach days | 2316.00 | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1494.42 | 1391.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 72.14 | 6.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.90 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 25.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.90 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.48 | 27.19 |
| state index | 1.12 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |