← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Nancy win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexis Busin · Nancy |
| 26' | 🟨 | Abou Ba · Nancy |
| 39' | 🟨 | Baptiste Aloé · Valenciennes |
| 44' | ⚽ | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 83' | 🟨 | Laurent Abergel · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1029.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1398.26 | 1359.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.66 | 8.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 41.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| league points | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.24 | 27.16 |
| state index | -0.90 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |