← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 36% | 2.66 |
| Orleans win | 32% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (og) | Omenuke Mfulu · Orleans |
| 20' | ⚽ | Joseph Lopy · Orleans |
| 35' | ⚽ | Anthony Le Tallec · Orleans |
| 45' | 🟨 | Karim Ziani · Orleans |
| 60' | 🟨 | Yohan Demoncy · Orleans |
| 76' | 🟨 | Clément Chantôme · Red Star |
| 77' | ⚽ | Jordan Tell · Orleans |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| coach days | 25.00 | 2308.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1348.89 | 1479.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.76 | 69.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.67 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 66.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| league points | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 39.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -1.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.97 | 26.13 |
| state index | -0.85 | 0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |