← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Oct 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: William Lavis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
| Nancy win | 31% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Eric Vandenabeele · Grenoble |
| 39' | 🟥 | Mons Bassouamina · Nancy |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ryan Sanusi · Grenoble |
| 47' | ⚽ | Modou Diagne · Nancy |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ernest Seka · Nancy |
| 67' | ⚽ | Florian Sotoca · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 18.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1370.07 | 1407.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.28 | 27.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.68 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| league points | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.05 | 27.74 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | -1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |