← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Oct 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Red Star win | 20% | 4.79 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Alpha Sissoko · Clermont |
| 22' | 🟨 | Yusuf Sari · Clermont |
| 25' | 🟨 | Xavier Tomas · Red Star |
| 44' | 🟨 | Vital Nsimba · Clermont |
| 81' | 🟨 | Manuel Perez · Clermont |
| 82' | 🟨 | Omenuke Mfulu · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel Montpied |
| coach days | 2301.00 | 18.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1536.70 | 1342.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.21 | -21.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| league points | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.81 | 25.57 |
| state index | -0.03 | -1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |