← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Oct 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Valenciennes win | 33% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Tony Mauricio · Valenciennes |
| 32' | ⚽ | Yoann Court · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Belaud · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 60' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Charbonnier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 86' | 🟨 | Yoann Court · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Édouard Butin · Stade Brestois 29 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 1008.00 | 826.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.59 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1413.98 | 1614.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.99 | 41.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 12.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 2.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.41 | 27.61 |
| state index | -0.77 | 1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |