← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Oct 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Ajaccio win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Mourad Satli · Red Star |
| 24' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Teddy Teuma · Red Star |
| 64' | 🟨 | Kévin Lejeune · Ajaccio |
| 75' | 🟨 | Maxence Derrien · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Ajaccio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Amadou Diallo · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Jean-Bouin |
| coach days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1325.23 | 1441.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.95 | -4.37 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | -1.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.73 |
| league points | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.40 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 24.96 | 26.12 |
| state index | -1.60 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |