← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Oct 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
| Nancy win | 13% | 7.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sega Coulibaly · Nancy |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 48' | ⚽ | Pape Sane · Nancy |
| 71' | ⚽ | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 76' | 🟨 | Abou Ba · Nancy |
| 84' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · FC Lorient |
| 89' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jimmy Cabot · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 493.00 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| 4.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.37 |
| elo | 1523.96 | 1346.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.14 | -6.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.97 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.44 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |