← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Sep 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| Red Star win | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Gregoire Lefebvre · Red Star |
| 29' | 🟨 | Harouna Sy · Red Star |
| 33' | ⚽ | Julio Donisa · Red Star |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 59' | ⚽ | Malek Chergui · Grenoble |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 80' | ⚽ | Grégory Berthier · Red Star |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Youssouf M'Changama · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Jean-Bouin |
| coach days | 484.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1335.54 | 1384.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.75 | -4.48 |
| eye test v1 | -1.27 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 57.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| league points | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.44 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.38 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.04 | 27.59 |
| state index | -1.23 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |