← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Sep 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Stephanie Frappart, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Orleans win | 27% | 3.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Adrien Monfray · Orleans |
| 39' | 🟨 | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 45' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · FC Lorient |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ousmane Cissokho · Orleans |
| 64' | ⚽ | Joseph Lopy · Orleans |
| 74' | ⚽ | Jordan Tell · Orleans |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gauthier Pinaud · Orleans |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade de la Source |
| coach days | 2280.00 | 486.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1422.28 | 1566.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.41 | 20.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 65.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| league points | 10.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.28 | 26.14 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |