← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Sep 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jeremy Stinat, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Valenciennes win | 22% | 4.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Loïc Nestor · Valenciennes |
| 25' | 🟨 | Yann Boé-Kane · Ajaccio |
| 27' | 🟨 | Ghislain Gimbert · Ajaccio |
| 34' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 39' | 🟨 | Johan Cavalli · Ajaccio |
| 55' | ⚽ | Jeremy Choplin · Ajaccio |
| 65' | 🟨 | Elhadj Dabo · Valenciennes |
| 70' | 🟨 | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 73' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade François-Coty |
| coach days | 484.00 | 1001.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 4.61 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1424.62 | 1426.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.34 | -25.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.26 | 25.58 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |