← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastein Dechepy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.16 |
| Ajaccio win | 21% | 4.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Ajaccio |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mohamed Yattara · AJ Auxerre |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yann Boé-Kane · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 3 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| coach days | 294.00 | 477.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 1.20 |
| -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1390.51 | 1437.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.73 | -10.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| league points | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 6.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 26.72 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |