← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Faouzi Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Red Star win | 33% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.07 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Tony Mauricio · Valenciennes |
| 5' | ⚽ | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 15' | ⚽ | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 17' | 🟨 | Mourad Satli · Red Star |
| 23' | ⚽ (og) | Laurent Dos Santos · Red Star |
| 34' | 🟨 | Samba Diakite · Red Star |
| 53' | ⚽ | Tony Mauricio · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 994.00 | 477.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1415.18 | 1346.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.80 | -9.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.43 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 26.30 |
| state index | -1.23 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |