← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Sep 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastein Dechepy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Red Star win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 44' | ⚽ | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 57' | 🟨 | Grégory Berthier · Red Star |
| 75' | 🟨 | Mourad Satli · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Idriss Mhirsi · Red Star |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Jean-Bouin |
| coach days | 470.00 | 472.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1357.66 | 1557.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.06 | 39.21 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 13.83 | 11.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 2.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.35 | 25.91 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |