← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Sep 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jeremie Pignard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Nancy win | 31% | 3.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Le Havre AC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Ernest Seka · Nancy |
| 45' | 🟨 | Serge N'Guessan · Nancy |
| 47' | 🟨 | Ernest Seka · Nancy |
| 47' | 🟥 | Ernest Seka · Nancy |
| 76' | 🟨 | Zinedine Ferhat · Le Havre AC |
| 82' | 🟨 | Özer Özdemir · Le Havre AC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 166.00 | 713.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.61 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1356.79 | 1561.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.28 | -4.06 |
| eye test v1 | -1.35 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.88 |
| league points | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 25.41 |
| state index | -1.29 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |