← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Sep 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Yohann Rouinsard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.85 |
| Paris FC win | 27% | 3.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 65' | 🟨 | Silas Wamangituka · Paris FC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jérôme Hergault · Ajaccio |
| 77' | 🟨 | Silas Wamangituka · Paris FC |
| 77' | 🟥 | Silas Wamangituka · Paris FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Anthony Marin · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 2 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade François-Coty |
| coach days | 470.00 | 105.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1445.26 | 1537.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.67 | 9.49 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 13.83 | 13.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 28.90 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |