← Ligue 2 2018 · Mon, Sep 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Faouzi Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.29 |
| Grenoble win | 21% | 4.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
| 22' | 🟨 | Malek Chergui · Grenoble |
| 27' | 🟨 | Felipe Saad · FC Lorient |
| 34' | 🟨 | Harouna Abou Demba · Grenoble |
| 34' | ⚽ | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 39' | 🟨 | Illan Meslier · FC Lorient |
| 65' | 🟨 | Eric Vandenabeele · Grenoble |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nicolas Belvito · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 26 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade de la Rabine |
| coach days | 461.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1553.65 | 1380.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.27 | -4.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.81 |
| league points | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 27.61 |
| state index | 0.73 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |