← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Aug 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Yohann Rouinsard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Nancy win | 25% | 3.94 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Mehdi Merghem · Chateauroux |
| 74' | 🟨 | Grégory Bourillon · Chateauroux |
| 81' | 🟨 | Vincent Muratori · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 1795.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Petit |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 0.60 |
| -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.13 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.31 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1473.42 | 1362.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.16 | -52.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -1.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.64 |
| league points | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| squad age | 26.99 | 26.21 |
| state index | -0.64 | -1.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |