← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Aug 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jeremie Pignard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 37% | 2.58 |
| Red Star win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Jordan Adeoti · AJ Auxerre |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lamine Fomba · AJ Auxerre |
| 61' | ⚽ | Jordan Faucher · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 449.00 | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.18 |
| venue | Stade Jean-Bouin |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -0.80 |
| 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.59 |
| elo | 1361.28 | 1417.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.94 | -6.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| league points | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 25.87 |
| state index | -1.14 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |