← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Aug 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastein Dechepy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
| Orleans win | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Durel Avounou · Orleans |
| 15' | ⚽ | Fahd El Khoumisti · Orleans |
| 19' | 🟨 | Yohan Demoncy · Orleans |
| 54' | ⚽ | Durel Avounou · Orleans |
| 68' | ⚽ | Joseph Lopy · Orleans |
| 83' | 🟨 | Sabir Bougrine · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade de la Source |
| coach days | 2245.00 | 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1376.26 | 1539.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -57.92 | 17.02 |
| eye test v1 | -1.15 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.72 |
| league points | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.74 | 28.48 |
| state index | -1.75 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |