β Ligue 2 2018 Β· Fri, Aug 24, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Chateauroux win | 23% | 4.26 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 62' | π¨ | Sekou Conde Β· Chateauroux |
| 68' | π₯ | Christopher Operi Β· Chateauroux |
| 86' | π¨ | Harouna Abou Demba Β· Grenoble |
| 90' | π¨ | JosΓ© Contreras Β· Chateauroux |
| 90' | π¨ | Mehdi Merghem Β· Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | β | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 84.00 | 1788.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 4.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1379.18 | 1474.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.07 | -9.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | β | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| league points | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.50 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.75 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.25 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | β | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.75 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.51 | 26.70 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.28 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | β | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |