← Ligue 2 2018 · Mon, Aug 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Ajaccio win | 18% | 5.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Johan Cavalli · Ajaccio |
| 36' | 🟨 | Mamadou Fofana · Metz |
| 43' | ⚽ | Habib Diallo · Metz |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jérôme Hergault · Ajaccio |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Habib Diallo · Metz |
| 74' | 🟨 | John Boye · Metz |
| 75' | ⚽ | Ghislain Gimbert · Ajaccio |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jeremy Choplin · Ajaccio |
| 83' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Niane · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| coach days | 111.00 | 445.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1520.97 | 1456.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.96 | 5.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 2.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.56 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 27.71 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |