← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Aug 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Willy Delajod, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Nancy win | 23% | 4.21 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Lamine Fomba · AJ Auxerre |
| 75' | 🟨 | Modou Diagne · Nancy |
| 88' | 🟨 | Carlens Arcus · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 259.00 | 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 2.20 |
| 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1410.41 | 1378.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.48 | -25.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| league points | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 6.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.63 | 27.59 |
| state index | -0.71 | -1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |