← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Aug 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟥 | Baptiste Aloé · Valenciennes |
| 7' | ⚽ | Elhadj Dabo · Valenciennes |
| 14' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 28' | ⚽ | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 53' | 🟨 | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 55' | ⚽ | Jimmy Cabot · FC Lorient |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 72' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 78' | 🟨 | Eden Massouema · Valenciennes |
| 78' | 🟨 | Laurent Dos Santos · Valenciennes |
| 83' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 2 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 25 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 444.00 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| 959.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 1.89 |
| elo | 1518.01 | 1433.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.04 | 30.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 70.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.03 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | — |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.41 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |