← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Aug 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastein Dechepy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Red Star win | 27% | 3.58 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Hervé Bazile · Le Havre AC |
| 44' | 🟨 | Amos Youga · Le Havre AC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Bourgaud · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Grégory Berthier · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Formose Mendy · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟥 | Grégory Berthier · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Jean-Bouin |
| coach days | 435.00 | 678.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.61 |
| elo | 1362.72 | 1559.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.38 | 12.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.51 | 25.41 |
| state index | -0.92 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |