← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Aug 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Orleans win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Mickaël Barreto · AJ Auxerre |
| 18' | 🟨 | Joseph Lopy · Orleans |
| 41' | ⚽ | Yanis Merdji · AJ Auxerre |
| 53' | ⚽ | Yanis Merdji · AJ Auxerre |
| 70' | 🟨 | Fahd El Khoumisti · Orleans |
| 80' | 🟨 | Lamine Fomba · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 3 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade de la Source |
| coach days | 2231.00 | 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1392.49 | 1389.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.00 | -40.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.33 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 26.47 |
| state index | -1.31 | -1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.29 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |