β Ligue 2 2018 Β· Fri, Aug 10, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: William Lavis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Niort win | 19% | 5.23 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | π¨ | Youssouf M'Changama Β· Grenoble |
| 31' | π¨ | Valentin Jacob Β· Niort |
| 45' | β½ | Jessy Benet Β· Grenoble |
| 73' | π¨ | Dylan Louiserre Β· Niort |
| 76' | π¨ | Cyriaque Rivieryan Β· Niort |
| 85' | π¨ | Julien Da Costa Β· Niort |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | β | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 70.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1391.04 | 1486.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.03 | 12.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | β | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | β | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.50 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | β | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.31 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | β | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.38 | 23.22 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.59 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | β | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |