← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Aug 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| Sochaux win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Jeando Fuchs · Sochaux |
| 23' | 🟨 | Ermedin Demirovic · Sochaux |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jason Pendant · Sochaux |
| 38' | 🟨 | Sofiane Daham · Sochaux |
| 44' | 🟨 | Johan Cavalli · Ajaccio |
| 44' | 🟨 | — · Sochaux |
| 50' | ⚽ | Sofiane Daham · Sochaux |
| 55' | 🟨 | Alliou Dembele · Ajaccio |
| 62' | ⚽ | Jeremy Choplin · Ajaccio |
| 64' | ⚽ | Abdoulaye Sane · Sochaux |
| 73' | ⚽ (og) | Pylyp Budkivskyy · Ajaccio |
| 76' | 🟨 | Maxence Prévot · Sochaux |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade François-Coty |
| coach days | 435.00 | 435.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1474.79 | 1411.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.55 | -58.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 30.94 | 21.58 |
| state index | -0.32 | -1.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |