← Ligue 2 2018 · Mon, Aug 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Delpech, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Chateauroux win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Sekou Conde · Chateauroux |
| 51' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 55' | ⚽ | Grégory Bourillon · Chateauroux |
| 63' | ⚽ | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 89' | 🟨 | Razak Boukari · Chateauroux |
| 89' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Petit |
| coach days | 1770.00 | 433.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 9.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.08 | 3.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1489.18 | 1507.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.92 | -28.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 2.46 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 27.44 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |