← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Aug 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Valenciennes win | 25% | 3.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 43' | 🟨 | Eden Massouema · Valenciennes |
| 64' | 🟨 | Josema · Sochaux |
| 69' | 🟨 | Baptiste Aloé · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Olivier Verdon · Sochaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sochaux | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Bonal |
| coach days | 428.00 | 945.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.31 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1422.73 | 1451.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -63.26 | 29.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 69.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 21.43 | 27.54 |
| state index | -1.26 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |