← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Jul 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Delpech, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Valenciennes win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Laurent Dos Santos · Valenciennes |
| 9' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 15' | 🟨 | Carlens Arcus · AJ Auxerre |
| 21' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 25' | 🟨 | Anthony Goelzer · Valenciennes |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Baptiste Aloé · AJ Auxerre |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jordan Adeoti · AJ Auxerre |
| 65' | 🟨 | Romain Philippoteaux · AJ Auxerre |
| 80' | 🟨 | Elhadj Dabo · Valenciennes |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ahmed Kantari · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 28 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 938.00 | 238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1439.56 | 1424.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.83 | -10.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.40 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | — |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 23.92 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |