← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Jul 27, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
| Niort win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | ⚽ | Ande Dona Ndoh · Niort |
| 52' | 🟨 | Yacine Bourhane · Niort |
| 59' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Sory Conté · Niort |
| 86' | ⚽ | Julio Donisa · Red Star |
| 87' | 🟨 | Grégory Berthier · Red Star |
| 89' | 🟨 | Julio Donisa · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 24 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| venue | Stade Jean-Bouin |
| coach days | 421.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.37 |
| elo | 1376.89 | 1461.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.90 | 18.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.18 | 25.90 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |